Climatic and social
risk factors for Aedes infestation in rural Thailand
Yoshiro Nagao1
Usavadee Thavara 2
Pensri Chitnumsup 3
Apiwat Tawatsin 2
Chitti Chansang 2
Diarmid Campball-Lendrum1
Affiliations :
1 London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London,UK
2 National Institute of Health, Ministry of Public Health, Nonthaburi,
Thailand
3 Division of Epidemiology, Ministry of Public Health, Nonthaburi, Thailand
Source:
Journal of Tropical Medicine and international Health 8(7):650-659,2003
Language :
English
Abstract:
An intense epidemic of dengue haemorrhagic fever in 1998 prompted the Thai government
to investigate the feasibility of focalized vecotor (Aedes aegypti )
control programmes. We tested for correlations of three indices of Aedes
larval abundance (housing index, container index and Breteau index) against
38 socio-economic and four climatic variables. Availability of public water
wells, existence of transport services and proportion of tin houses were positively
associated with larval indices. Private water wells, health education, health
insurance coverage, thatched houses and use of firewood for cooking were negarively
associated. These probably represent both direct effects on breeding sires (
private VS . pubic wells decrease necessity to store water, and
health education may encourage breeding site removal), and more general effects
of health-related attitudes, housing quality and remoteness from urban areas.
Indices were positively associated with daily minimum temperature, an increase
in precipitation from the previous month (reflecting the onser of the rainy
season ) and daily maximum temperatures of approximately 33-34°C . The
associations were used to derive statistical models to predict the rank order
of larval indices within the study area (Spearman's correlation coefficients
= 0.525-0.554). The study provides a rational basis for identifying possible
social interventions , and for prioritizing previously unsurveyed villages for
further monitoring and focalized vector control. |