Climatic and social risk factors for Aedes  infestation in rural Thailand

Yoshiro Nagao1
Usavadee Thavara 2
Pensri Chitnumsup 3
Apiwat Tawatsin 2
Chitti Chansang 2
Diarmid Campball-Lendrum1

Affiliations :
1 London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London,UK
2 National Institute of Health, Ministry of Public Health, Nonthaburi, Thailand
3 Division of Epidemiology, Ministry of Public Health, Nonthaburi, Thailand

Source:
Journal of Tropical Medicine and international Health 8(7):650-659,2003

Language :
English

Abstract:
       An intense epidemic of dengue haemorrhagic fever in 1998 prompted the Thai government to investigate the feasibility of focalized vecotor (Aedes aegypti ) control programmes. We tested for correlations of three indices of Aedes  larval abundance (housing index, container index and Breteau index) against 38 socio-economic and four climatic variables. Availability of public water wells, existence of transport services and proportion of tin houses were positively associated with larval indices. Private water wells, health education, health insurance coverage, thatched houses and use of firewood for cooking were negarively associated. These probably represent both direct effects on breeding sires ( private VS . pubic wells decrease necessity to store water, and health education may encourage breeding site removal), and more general effects of health-related attitudes, housing quality and remoteness from urban areas. Indices were positively associated with daily minimum temperature, an increase in precipitation from the previous month (reflecting the onser of the rainy season ) and daily maximum temperatures of approximately 33-34°C . The associations were used to derive statistical models to predict the rank order of larval indices within the study area (Spearman's correlation coefficients = 0.525-0.554). The study provides a rational basis for identifying possible social interventions , and for prioritizing previously unsurveyed villages for further monitoring and focalized vector control.